‘No apparent El Nino conditions in Brunei’
BANDAR SERI BEGAWAN
TYPICAL impacts and conditions of El Nino are currently not apparent in Brunei, as rainfall has remained above normal in the sultanate for the past three months, said the Meteorological Department’s forecaster on duty.
An El Nino is usually associated with unusual and prolonged dry conditions, and forecasts suggest that this year’s El Nino is expected to be one of the strongest on record. But given Brunei’s current weather situation, it’s uncertain as to whether the country will experience the effects of El Nino as in other parts of Southeast Asia.
According to the United Nations Food and Agricultural Organization, prolonged dry weather associated with an El Nino had impaired the production outlook of crops in countries including Cambodia, Laos, the Philippines and Vietnam, with some rain improving conditions in July.
For the case of Brunei, however, the meteorological forecaster said that total rainfall for June this year was measured to be ‘above normal’ when compared with the ‘normal rainfall’ for 1981 – 2010 while rainfall for August 2015 was considered normal.
“As you can see from the current status of El Nino, the condition is present but not apparent in Brunei (in terms of total rainfall) for the past three months. El Nino is usually felt from November to January,” she said, adding that December is considered Brunei’s wettest month.
When asked about the possibility of Brunei experiencing the typical conditions of El Nino such as drought and haze, she said it would be difficult to say, as current weather trends for Brunei haven’t been following conventional conditions. She said the Meteorological Department would continue to monitor the condition and release any statement when necessary.
The US-based National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released a statement last week regarding El Nino, where it said El Nino conditions are present. There is also a greater than 90 per cent chance that El Nino will continue through the 2015-2016 Northern Hemisphere winter and around an 85 per cent chance that it will last into early spring 2016.
The Brunei Times